This discussion paper considers service life prediction for timber and the work within the pan-European WoodExter project. The project aims to develop a model for service life prediction of exterior timber cladding, to enable better end use selection of material suitable for delivering the required service life of cladding and to provide information for professionals wanting to understand and use timber cladding. Service life prediction of buildings is discussed in the context of ISO 15686 the international suite of standards for service life prediction. The challenges that are ahead to enable a successful predictive approach to be developed are considered.

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